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Yes, It Could Happen Again

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What happen in the world

Postby Ker В» 12.04.2020

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A crisis on this scale can reorder society in dramatic ways, for better or worse. Politico Magazine surveyed more than 30 smart, macro thinkers this week, and they have some news for you: Buckle in. This could be bigger. A global, novel virus that keeps us contained in our homes—maybe for months—is already reorienting our relationship to government, to the outside world, even to each other. Some changes these experts expect to see in the coming months or years might feel unfamiliar or unsettling: Will nations stay closed?

Will touch become taboo? What will become of restaurants? No one knows exactly what will come, but here is our best stab at a guide to the unknown ways that society—government, healthcare, the economy, our lifestyles and more—will change.

The personal becomes dangerous. The financial crisis told us we also can suffer the calamities of past eras, like the economic meltdown of the Great Depression. Now, the flu pandemic is a sudden specter in our lives. This loss of innocence, or complacency, is a new way of being-in-the-world that we can expect to change our doing-in-the-world. We know now that touching things, being with other people and breathing the air in an enclosed space can be risky.

How quickly that awareness recedes will be different for different people, but it can never vanish completely for anyone who lived through this year.

Unfortunately, if unintendedly, those without easy access to broadband will be further disadvantaged. The paradox of online communication will be ratcheted up: It creates more distance, yes, but also more connection, as we communicate more often with people who are physically farther and farther away—and who feel safer to us because of that distance.

A new kind of patriotism. America has long equated patriotism with the armed forces. Like Li Wenliang and the doctors of Wuhan, many are suddenly saddled with unfathomable tasks, compounded by an increased risk of contamination and death they never signed up for. We will give them guaranteed health benefits and corporate discounts, and build statues and have holidays for this new class of people who sacrifice their health and their lives for ours.

Maybe the de-militarization of American patriotism and love of community will be one of the benefits to come out of this whole awful mess.

A decline in polarization. Peter T. Coleman is a professor of psychology at Columbia University who studies intractable conflict. The extraordinary shock s to our system that the coronavirus pandemic is bringing has the potential to break America out of the plus year pattern of escalating political and cultural polarization we have been trapped in, and help us to change course toward greater national solidarity and functionality. It might sound idealistic, but there are two reasons to think it can happen.

COVID is presenting us with a formidable enemy that will not distinguish between reds and blues, and might provide us with fusion-like energy and a singularity of purpose to help us reset and regroup. Studies have shown that strong, enduring relational patterns often become more susceptible to change after some type of major shock destabilizes them.

Societal shocks can break different ways, making things better or worse. But given our current levels of tension, this scenario suggests that now is the time to begin to promote more constructive patterns in our cultural and political discourse.

The time for change is clearly ripening. A return to faith in serious experts. Tom Nichols is a professor at the U. America for several years has become a fundamentally unserious country. This is the luxury afforded us by peace, affluence and high levels of consumer technology. Terrorism has receded back to being a kind of notional threat for which we dispatch volunteers in our military to the far corners of the desert as the advance guard of the homeland.

We even elevated a reality TV star to the presidency as a populist attack on the bureaucracy and expertise that makes most of the government function on a day to day basis. First, it has already forced people back to accepting that expertise matters.

It was easy to sneer at experts until a pandemic arrived, and then people wanted to hear from medical professionals like Anthony Fauci. Second, it may—one might hope—return Americans to a new seriousness, or at least move them back toward the idea that government is a matter for serious people.

The colossal failure of the Trump administration both to keep Americans healthy and to slow the pandemic-driven implosion of the economy might shock the public enough back to insisting on something from government other than emotional satisfaction. Less individualism. The coronavirus pandemic marks the end of our romance with market society and hyper-individualism. We could turn toward authoritarianism.

Imagine President Donald Trump trying to suspend the November election. Consider the prospect of a military crackdown. The dystopian scenario is real. But I believe we will go in the other direction. When this ends, we will reorient our politics and make substantial new investments in public goods—for health, especially—and public services. Instead, we will be better able to see how our fates are linked.

The cheap burger I eat from a restaurant that denies paid sick leave to its cashiers and kitchen staff makes me more vulnerable to illness, as does the neighbor who refuses to stay home in a pandemic because our public school failed to teach him science or critical thinking skills.

The coronavirus pandemic is going to cause immense pain and suffering. But it will force us to reconsider who we are and what we value, and, in the long run, it could help us rediscover the better version of ourselves. Religious worship will look different. Amy Sullivan is director of strategy for Vote Common Good. We are an Easter people, many Christians are fond of saying, emphasizing the triumph of hope and life over fear.

But how do an Easter people observe their holiest day if they cannot rejoice together on Easter morning? How do Jews celebrate their deliverance from bondage when Passover Seders must take place on Zoom, with in-laws left to wonder whether Cousin Joey forgot the Four Questions or the internet connection merely froze?

Can Muslim families celebrate Ramadan if they cannot visit local mosques for Tarawih prayers or gather with loved ones to break the fast? All faiths have dealt with the challenge of keeping faith alive under the adverse conditions of war or diaspora or persecution—but never all faiths at the same time. Religion in the time of quarantine will challenge conceptions of what it means to minister and to fellowship.

But it will also expand the opportunities for those who have no local congregation to sample sermons from afar. Contemplative practices may gain popularity.

New forms of reform. Jonathan Rauch is a contributing writer at the Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. One group of Americans has lived through a transformational epidemic in recent memory: gay men. Partly because our government failed us, gay Americans mobilized to build organizations, networks and know-how that changed our place in society and have enduring legacies today.

The epidemic also revealed deadly flaws in the health care system, and it awakened us to the need for the protection of marriage—revelations which led to landmark reforms. Regulatory barriers to online tools will fall.

Katherine Mangu-Ward is editor-in-chief of Reason magazine. COVID will sweep away many of the artificial barriers to moving more of our lives online. Not everything can become virtual, of course. But in many areas of our lives, uptake on genuinely useful online tools has been slowed by powerful legacy players, often working in collaboration with overcautious bureaucrats.

Medicare allowing billing for telemedicine was a long-overdue change, for instance, as was revisiting HIPAA to permit more medical providers to use the same tools the rest of us use every day to communicate, such as Skype, Facetime and email. The regulatory bureaucracy might well have dragged its feet on this for many more years if not for this crisis. It will be near-impossible to put that genie back in the bottle in the fall, with many families finding that they prefer full or partial homeschooling or online homework.

For many college students, returning to an expensive dorm room on a depopulated campus will not be appealing, forcing massive changes in a sector that has been ripe for innovation for a long time. And while not every job can be done remotely, many people are learning that the difference between having to put on a tie and commute for an hour or working efficiently at home was always just the ability to download one or two apps plus permission from their boss.

Once companies sort out their remote work dance steps, it will be harder—and more expensive—to deny employees those options. And now they will be. A healthier digital lifestyle.

Perhaps we can use our time with our devices to rethink the kinds of community we can create through them. In the earliest days of our coronavirus social distancing, we have seen inspirational first examples. Cello master Yo-Yo Ma posts a daily live concert of a song that sustains him.

Broadway diva Laura Benanti invites performers from high school musicals who are not going to put on those shows to send their performances to her. Entrepreneurs offer time to listen to pitches. Master yoga instructors teach free classes.

This is breaking open a medium with human generosity and empathy. I have a life, a history. What do people need? Not only alone together, but together alone. A boon to virtual reality. Elizabeth Bradley is president of Vassar College and a scholar of global health.

VR allows us to have the experiences we want even if we have to be isolated, quarantined or alone. Maybe that will be how we adapt and stay safe in the next outbreak. I would like to see a VR program that helped with the socialization and mental health of people who had to self-isolate. Imagine putting on glasses, and suddenly you are in a classroom or another communal setting, or even a positive psychology intervention. The rise of telemedicine. Ezekiel J.

What If World War III Happened Tomorrow?, time: 5:51
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Re: what happen in the world

Postby Kagasida В» 12.04.2020

Not only is this move medically necessary at the moment, but it has ancillary tge. We should expect that option to source more widespread. The financial crisis told us we also can suffer the calamities of past eras, like the economic meltdown of the Great Depression.

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Re: what happen in the world

Postby Tozahn В» 12.04.2020

For years, telemedicine has lingered on the sidelines as a cost-controlling, high convenience what. Once companies sort out their remote work dance steps, it will be harder—and happen expensive—to deny employees those go here. Just as the trauma of fighting World War II laid the foundations for a stronger American government and national solidarity, the coronavirus crisis might sow the world of a new civic federalism, in which states and localities the centers of justice, solidarity and far-sighted democratic problem-solving.

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